The niche at a glance
Dice on Steam: 312 released games, 244 in the last 12 months, 265 announced and still unreleased. Median lifetime reviews: 15. 45% of them never reached 10 reviews. Free to play: 5%. Dice is a Steam store tag, applied by the developer and refined by players; a game carries several tags at once, so niche counts overlap and do not add up to the size of the Steam catalogue. Data as of .
What releases end up with
lifetime reviews · released 3 years ago to 90 days ago · failures included130 releasesReleases per year
outcomes count only games released more than 90 days ago, anything newer has not had time to gather reviewsDice × setting: what the pairings end up with
every setting tag shipped with Dice at least 5 times · same window× setting× presentation| Dice × | 3 y | 12 m | median | ≥500 | adjusted | vs chance | last hit | who made it | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sci-fi | 9 | 6 | 20 | under 20 | 11.5% | ordinary ×0.53 | 198 d | ||
| Dark Fantasy | 11 | 5 | 24 | under 20 | 10.8% | cliché ×2.43 | 212 d | ||
| Cyberpunk | 5 | 3 | 108 | under 20 | 9.4% | ordinary ×1.14 | 621 d | ||
| Detective | 5 | 3 | 20 | under 20 | 9.4% | ordinary ×0.92 | 287 d | ||
| Futuristic | 5 | 3 | 58 | under 20 | 9.4% | ordinary ×0.63 | 621 d | ||
| Historical | 5 | 3 | 14 | under 20 | 9.4% | ordinary ×0.84 | 287 d | ||
| Female Protagonist | 6 | 5 | 198 | under 20 | 9.0% | ordinary ×0.42 | 198 d | ||
| Magic | 10 | 7 | 24 | under 20 | 7.8% | cliché ×1.87 | 538 d | ||
| Fantasy | 36 | 21 | 17 | 5.6% 2%–18% | 6.0% | cliché ×1.83 | 148 d | ||
| Capitalism | 5 | 4 | 15 | under 20 | 5.4% | cliché ×2.24 | never | ||
| Mystery | 5 | 4 | 15 | under 20 | 5.4% | ordinary ×0.53 | never | ||
| Poker | 6 | 6 | 13 | under 20 | 5.2% | 19 ever | never | ||
| Horror | 7 | 5 | 45 | under 20 | 5.0% | ordinary ×0.61 | never | ||
| Medieval | 12 | 5 | 4 | under 20 | 4.2% | cliché ×1.92 | never |
About these numbers
“Adjusted” is the share pulled towards the catalogue with the weight of twenty releases: the top of any ranked list is optimistic (out of a hundred pairings one will show 35 % on 23 releases by luck alone), and the adjustment is what stops a small lucky group from leading. The band next to the raw share is the 95 % interval. This list is the same for everyone today; the second opinion is the description-based one on Pitch comps.
